KS Wieczysta Krakow 1-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 1 Oct 2024

📅01/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.32
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
22%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.29
Over Pick
62%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.9
No
45%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.74
2-3
40%
1.92
4-5
30%
2.83
6+
12%
7.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
71%
-11.6pp
18%
Draw
18%
+0.2pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+11.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
40%
-1.8pp
62%
Over 2.5
60%
+1.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.8pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KS Wieczysta Krakow EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj EU Bookmakers 14%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
3.21/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.83
+51% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
390 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KS Wieczysta Krakow
1-0
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH KS Wieczysta Krakow vs Jastrzebie Zdroj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KS Wieczysta Krakow edged past Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had KS Wieczysta Krakow as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KS Wieczysta Krakow had 53% of the ball to Jastrzebie Zdroj's 47%, shots finished 6-6.

What was the final score of KS Wieczysta Krakow vs Jastrzebie Zdroj?

KS Wieczysta Krakow 1-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj in the Poland - 2nd Division on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KS Wieczysta Krakow vs Jastrzebie Zdroj?

Before kick-off our model rated a KS Wieczysta Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split KS Wieczysta Krakow 60%, draw 18%, Jastrzebie Zdroj 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KS Wieczysta Krakow) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KS Wieczysta Krakow) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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