Abha 3-1 Al Faisaly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 1 Oct 2024

📅01/10/2024 · 🕒18:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.09
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.68
Over 2.5
36%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
44%
-9.0pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.6pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.2pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Abha EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Faisaly EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
263 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Abha
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Al Faisaly
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.15 xG 1.16
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
290 Passes 353
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.05.2022 Abha Abha 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD
04.11.2021 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 1-0 HT 1-0 Abha Abha SUUD
14.05.2021 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 2-1 HT 0-0 Abha Abha SUUD
07.01.2021 Abha Abha 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD
09.09.2020 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 2-1 HT 1-0 Abha Abha SUUD
25.01.2020 Abha Abha 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Abha
3-1
AWAY Al Faisaly
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Abha vs Al Faisaly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Abha beat Al Faisaly 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 33%) promised a tight game; Abha found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Abha had 38% of the ball to Al Faisaly's 62%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Faisaly led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Abha and 1.00 for Al Faisaly.

What was the final score of Abha vs Al Faisaly?

Abha 3-1 Al Faisaly in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Abha vs Al Faisaly?

Before kick-off our model rated a Abha win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Abha 35%, draw 32%, Al Faisaly 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Abha) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Abha) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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