İtalya U20 2-2 Küba U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup U20, 1 Oct 2025

İtalya U20
2-2 HT 2-0
Küba U20
📅01/10/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
World Cup U20 – 2025

İtalya U20 vs Küba U20 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.16
Draw
15%
7.78
Away
8%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
3.59
Over 2.5
52%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.67
No
54%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
8.04
2-3 Goals
36%
2.32
4-5 Goals
22%
2.27
6+ Goals
14%
3.69
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 8.04 — our 28% vs market 7.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
52%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
3%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
2%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
82%
-5.2pp
15%
Draw
10%
+4.0pp
8%
Away Win
7%
+1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
24%
+24.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
76%
-24.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
33%
+12.9pp
54%
BTTS No
67%
-12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İtalya U20 v Küba U20 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İtalya U20 EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Küba U20 EU Bookmakers 9%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/5.00
-70% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -43%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
414 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 79%
38.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
13.0 Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –

İtalya U20 2-2 Küba U20 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İtalya U20
2-2
AWAY Küba U20
2.44 xG 2.03
55% Ball Possession 45%
21 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 1
259 Passes 212
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
37 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İtalya U20 vs Küba U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İtalya U20 and Küba U20 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had İtalya U20 at 77% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, İtalya U20 had 55% of the ball to Küba U20's 45%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 2.44 to 2.03.

What was the final score of İtalya U20 vs Küba U20?

İtalya U20 2-2 Küba U20 in the World Cup U20 on 01/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İtalya U20 vs Küba U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a İtalya U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split İtalya U20 77%, draw 15%, Küba U20 8%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (İtalya U20), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İtalya U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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