12 de Octubre 1-0 Tacuary — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Cup, 1 Oct 2025

📅01/10/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
20%
3.35
Away
46%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.68
Over 2.5
54%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.0pp
20%
Draw
27%
-6.4pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+4.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
56%
-9.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
44%
+9.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.0pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 12 de Octubre EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Tacuary EU Bookmakers 45%
+54% / +54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
271 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 12 de Octubre
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Tacuary
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2022 Tacuary Tacuary 5-1 HT 1-0 12 de Octubre 12 de Octubre PAR
21.08.2022 12 de Octubre 12 de Octubre 0-2 HT 0-0 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
30.04.2022 12 de Octubre 12 de Octubre 2-0 HT 0-0 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
12.02.2022 Tacuary Tacuary 1-1 HT 1-1 12 de Octubre 12 de Octubre PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 12 de Octubre
1-0
AWAY Tacuary
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH 12 de Octubre vs Tacuary
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

12 de Octubre edged past Tacuary 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Tacuary at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, 12 de Octubre had 53% of the ball to Tacuary's 47%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Tacuary led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for 12 de Octubre and 2.00 for Tacuary.

What was the final score of 12 de Octubre vs Tacuary?

12 de Octubre 1-0 Tacuary in the Paraguay - Cup on 01/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 12 de Octubre vs Tacuary?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tacuary win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split 12 de Octubre 34%, draw 20%, Tacuary 46%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tacuary) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →