Gaddafi 2-1 Lugazi Municipal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 1 Oct 2025

Gaddafi
2 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Lugazi Municipal
📅01/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2025/2026

Gaddafi vs Lugazi Municipal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.2
Draw
38%
2.69
Away
24%
3.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
66%
Over
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
No
61%
Total Goals
0-1
39%
2-3
46%
4-5
13%
6+
2%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
26%
2/1
2%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Gaddafi v Lugazi Municipal — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Gaddafi The Market 45%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugazi Municipal The Market 28%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.34 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.76
0.96 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.98
Strong Attack Strength Bad
Weak Defense Strength Great
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
254 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2

Gaddafi 2-1 Lugazi Municipal — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaddafi
2 - 1
AWAY Lugazi Municipal
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Gaddafi vs Lugazi Municipal
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Gaddafi found just enough to beat Lugazi Municipal 2-1. From 0-1 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.

The model refused to pick a side here (38% / 38% / 24%); Gaddafi picked one for it. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%) never looked like landing.

By the numbers, Gaddafi had 60% of the ball to Lugazi Municipal's 40%, shots finished 11-2.

Gaddafi vs Lugazi Municipal Result & Final Score

Gaddafi 2 - 1 Lugazi Municipal in the Uganda - Premier League on 01/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Gaddafi vs Lugazi Municipal Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Gaddafi win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gaddafi 38%, draw 38%, Lugazi Municipal 24%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/38/24) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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