Graffin Vlasim 2-4 Sparta Prag II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.23
Over 2.5
47%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.49
No
52%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
63%
-14.6pp
52%
BTTS No
37%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Graffin Vlasim EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag II EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.89/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.88
+25% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Graffin Vlasim
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Sparta Prag II
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.11.2023 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 0-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II ÇEK2
11.03.2023 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 3-0 HT 1-0 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II ÇEK2
21.08.2022 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II 3-1 HT 1-0 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim ÇEK2
13.04.2022 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 1-1 HT 0-1 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II ÇEK2
26.09.2021 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II 2-3 HT 0-3 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Graffin Vlasim
2-4
AWAY Sparta Prag II
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Graffin Vlasim vs Sparta Prag II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag II got the better of Graffin Vlasim 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Graffin Vlasim at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Graffin Vlasim had 59% of the ball to Sparta Prag II's 41%, shots finished 15-14.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Graffin Vlasim and 1.40 for Sparta Prag II.

What was the final score of Graffin Vlasim vs Sparta Prag II?

Graffin Vlasim 2-4 Sparta Prag II in the Czech Republic - FNL on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Graffin Vlasim vs Sparta Prag II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Graffin Vlasim win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Graffin Vlasim 43%, draw 27%, Sparta Prag II 30%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Graffin Vlasim) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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