Preussen Münster 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 1 Nov 2024

Preussen Münster
1-0 HT 1-0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
📅01/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Preussen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
52%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.05
2-3 Goals
34%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.09
6+ Goals
12%
9.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.31
1/2
8%
22.7
1/X
5%
13.3
X/1
7%
7.68
X/2
20%
4.61
X/X
15%
5.13
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.59
2/X
5%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
27%
-3.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
52%
Away Win
47%
+4.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.4pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Preussen Münster v Fortuna Düsseldorf — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Preussen Münster EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 51%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +23%
1.13/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.22/0.92
-21% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +88%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 78%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
22.3 Crosses 20.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Preussen Münster 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Preussen Münster
1-0
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.08 xG 1.05
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 11
288 Passes 557
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
11 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 45
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Preussen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Preussen Münster nicked a narrow win over Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Fortuna Düsseldorf at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Preussen Münster had 35% of the ball to Fortuna Düsseldorf's 65%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 1.08 to 1.05.

What was the final score of Preussen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Preussen Münster 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Preussen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortuna Düsseldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Preussen Münster 23%, draw 25%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 52%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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