St. Pölten 0-2 Sturm Graz II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 1 Nov 2024

St. Pölten
0-2 HT 0-1
Sturm Graz II
📅01/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

St. Pölten vs Sturm Graz II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.33
Over 2.5
50%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.94
4-5 Goals
22%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
7.53
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.87 — our 27% vs market 15.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.56
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
8%
13.3
X/1
10%
4.7
X/2
14%
7.51
X/X
11%
5.82
2/1
7%
21.2
2/2
16%
4.88
2/X
10%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
48%
-12.4pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.8pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+7.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
39%
+10.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
61%
-10.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.1pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Pölten v Sturm Graz II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sturm Graz II EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.46/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/2.12
-12% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -30%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 71%
38.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
13.0 Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0

St. Pölten vs Sturm Graz II Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pölten
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Sturm Graz II
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.12.2023 St. Pölten St. Pölten 3-1 HT 3-0 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
30.07.2023 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 1-4 HT 0-1 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
26.02.2023 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 0-2 HT 0-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
12.08.2022 St. Pölten St. Pölten 2-5 HT 1-1 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2

St. Pölten 0-2 Sturm Graz II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Pölten
0-2
AWAY Sturm Graz II
50% Ball Possession 50%
4 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH St. Pölten vs Sturm Graz II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sturm Graz II got the better of St. Pölten 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Sturm Graz II found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, St. Pölten had 50% of the ball to Sturm Graz II's 50%, shots finished 4-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, St. Pölten had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for St. Pölten and 1.75 for Sturm Graz II.

What was the final score of St. Pölten vs Sturm Graz II?

St. Pölten 0-2 Sturm Graz II in the Austria - 1st Division on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pölten vs Sturm Graz II?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pölten win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split St. Pölten 36%, draw 28%, Sturm Graz II 36%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ BTTS Yes
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