Western United (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Western United (K) v Wellington Phoenix (K) — Team-Based Signals
Western United (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Western United (K) 4-2 Wellington Phoenix (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Western United (K) got the better of Wellington Phoenix (K) 4-2. Half-time: 4-1. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Western United (K) as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (57%) landed.
On the day, Wellington Phoenix (K) saw more of the ball, 60% to 40%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 2.69 to 2.15.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Western United (K) against 1.50 for Wellington Phoenix (K).
Western United (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Result & Final Score
Western United (K) 4 - 2 Wellington Phoenix (K) in the Australia - W-League on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Western United (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Western United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Western United (K) 67%, draw 18%, Wellington Phoenix (K) 15%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Western United (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.