Neftçi PFK 0-1 Araz Nahçıvan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 1 Nov 2024

Neftçi PFK
0-1 HT 0-1
Araz Nahçıvan
📅01/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2025/2026

Neftçi PFK vs Araz Nahçıvan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.96
Draw
34%
3.35
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.68
Over 2.5
35%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
1.88
No
65%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
47%
-11.3pp
34%
Draw
26%
+7.2pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
56%
+9.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
44%
-9.7pp
35%
BTTS Yes
49%
-13.6pp
65%
BTTS No
51%
+13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Neftçi PFK v Araz Nahçıvan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neftçi PFK EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 30%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -4%
1.46/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.52
+14% / +92% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
313 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 66%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards –

Neftçi PFK vs Araz Nahçıvan Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neftçi PFK
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
6 Corners 2
The Meetings
24.08.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 HT 1-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
13.04.2024 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 3-0 HT 2-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
13.02.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-0 HT 0-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
26.11.2023 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 1-1 HT 1-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
16.09.2023 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-0 HT 0-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
POST-MATCH Neftçi PFK vs Araz Nahçıvan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Araz Nahçıvan squeezed past Neftçi PFK 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 34% / 31%) promised a tight game; Araz Nahçıvan found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Araz Nahçıvan led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Neftçi PFK and 0.80 for Araz Nahçıvan.

What was the final score of Neftçi PFK vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Neftçi PFK 0-1 Araz Nahçıvan in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neftçi PFK vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neftçi PFK win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Neftçi PFK 36%, draw 34%, Araz Nahçıvan 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Neftçi PFK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Neftçi PFK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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