Westerlo 2-0 Dender EH — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.55
No
52%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.77
2-3 Goals
37%
1.92
4-5 Goals
25%
2.82
6+ Goals
12%
7.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.77 — our 26% vs market 16.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.37
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.6
X/1
13%
4.46
X/2
10%
8.28
X/X
14%
5.85
2/1
6%
20.9
2/2
15%
5.55
2/X
7%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-7.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.8pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Westerlo EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Dender EH EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.83/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.05/0.07
+11% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -96% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
386 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.5 Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Westerlo
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Dender EH
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
21.03.2009 Westerlo Westerlo 3-1 HT 1-1 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
01.11.2008 Dender EH Dender EH 2-2 HT 0-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
23.02.2008 Dender EH Dender EH 2-0 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
25.11.2007 Dender EH Dender EH 4-1 HT 1-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEK
15.09.2007 Westerlo Westerlo 0-0 HT 0-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Westerlo
2-0
AWAY Dender EH
2.95 xG 1.35
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
268 Passes 286
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Westerlo vs Dender EH
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Westerlo saw off Dender EH 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Westerlo as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Westerlo had 47% of the ball to Dender EH's 53%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 2.95 to 1.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Dender EH led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Westerlo and 1.80 for Dender EH.

What was the final score of Westerlo vs Dender EH?

Westerlo 2-0 Dender EH in the Belgium - Pro League on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Westerlo vs Dender EH?

Before kick-off our model rated a Westerlo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Westerlo 43%, draw 25%, Dender EH 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Westerlo), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Westerlo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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