Botev Vratsa 3-2 Slavia Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
45%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.6pp
45%
Away Win
42%
+3.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.6pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 45%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.08/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.22
+4% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Vratsa
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Slavia Sofia
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.07.2023 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 2-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
20.06.2019 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 2-1 HT 1-1 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa HAZ
13.06.2018 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 2-4 HT 1-3 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa HAZ
POST-MATCH Botev Vratsa vs Slavia Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Vratsa squeezed past Slavia Sofia 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Slavia Sofia at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Botev Vratsa had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Botev Vratsa and 1.33 for Slavia Sofia.

What was the final score of Botev Vratsa vs Slavia Sofia?

Botev Vratsa 3-2 Slavia Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Vratsa vs Slavia Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slavia Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Botev Vratsa 29%, draw 26%, Slavia Sofia 45%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Slavia Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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