CS Herediano 2-2 Real Esteli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF - Central Amerika Cup, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.72
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.68
Over
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
39%
4-5
17%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
54%
-11.0pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.8pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Herediano The Market 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Esteli The Market 22%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.78/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.84
-45% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +23%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
21.0 Crosses 13.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Herediano
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Real Esteli
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
4 Corners 3
25.10.2024 Real Esteli Real Esteli 0-0 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano CONOAK
25.11.2020 CS Herediano CS Herediano 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Esteli Real Esteli CONL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Herediano
2-2
AWAY Real Esteli
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CS Herediano vs Real Esteli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Herediano and Real Esteli couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was CS Herediano at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CS Herediano had 46% of the ball to Real Esteli's 54%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Real Esteli led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for CS Herediano and 0.50 for Real Esteli.

What was the final score of CS Herediano vs Real Esteli?

CS Herediano 2-2 Real Esteli in the CONCACAF - Central Amerika Cup on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Herediano vs Real Esteli?

Before kick-off our model rated a CS Herediano win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split CS Herediano 44%, draw 33%, Real Esteli 24%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CS Herediano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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