Barito Putera 1-3 Arema Malang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 1 Nov 2024

Barito Putera
1-3 HT 0-1
Arema Malang
📅01/11/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Indonesia League 1 – 2024/2025

Barito Putera vs Arema Malang Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.7
No
57%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
55%
-11.5pp
57%
BTTS No
45%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barito Putera v Arema Malang — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barito Putera EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Arema Malang EU Bookmakers 43%
-13% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.13/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.28
-8% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Barito Putera vs Arema Malang Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barito Putera
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Arema Malang
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
254 Passes 393
The Meetings
04.09.2022 Barito Putera Barito Putera 1-1 HT 1-0 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
05.03.2022 Barito Putera Barito Putera 1-2 HT 0-2 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
23.11.2021 Arema Malang Arema Malang 2-1 HT 0-0 Barito Putera Barito Putera ENDL1
22.12.2019 Barito Putera Barito Putera 3-0 HT 1-0 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1

Barito Putera 1-3 Arema Malang — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barito Putera
1-3
AWAY Arema Malang
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Barito Putera vs Arema Malang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arema Malang got the better of Barito Putera 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arema Malang as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Barito Putera had 46% of the ball to Arema Malang's 54%, shots finished 11-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Arema Malang led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Barito Putera and 1.25 for Arema Malang.

What was the final score of Barito Putera vs Arema Malang?

Barito Putera 1-3 Arema Malang in the Indonesia League 1 on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barito Putera vs Arema Malang?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arema Malang win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Barito Putera 32%, draw 27%, Arema Malang 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arema Malang) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arema Malang) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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