Awassa Kenema 1-2 Mebrat Hayl — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.51
Over 2.5
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-8.7pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.1pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.0pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.5pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Awassa Kenema EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Mebrat Hayl EU Bookmakers 27%
-65% / -65% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.51/2.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-54% / -67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Awassa Kenema
1-2
AWAY Mebrat Hayl
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Awassa Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mebrat Hayl edged past Awassa Kenema 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 33% / 28% — and on the day Mebrat Hayl made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Awassa Kenema had 45% of the ball to Mebrat Hayl's 55%, shots finished 6-8.

What was the final score of Awassa Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl?

Awassa Kenema 1-2 Mebrat Hayl in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Awassa Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl?

Before kick-off our model rated a Awassa Kenema win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Awassa Kenema 39%, draw 33%, Mebrat Hayl 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Awassa Kenema) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ETH More Etiyopya - Premier League
1 Nov 2024
00:00 Dire Dawa Kenema vs Adama City Analysis →