Accra Lions 1-1 Samatex — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gana - Premier League, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.44
Over 2.5
35%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.6pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.9pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
66%
-0.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
34%
+0.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.1pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Accra Lions EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Samatex EU Bookmakers 33%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.18/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.63
+22% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +95%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
262 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Accra Lions
1-1
AWAY Samatex
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Accra Lions vs Samatex
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Accra Lions and Samatex shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Accra Lions had 60% of the ball to Samatex's 40%, shots finished 12-5.

What was the final score of Accra Lions vs Samatex?

Accra Lions 1-1 Samatex in the Gana - Premier League on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Accra Lions vs Samatex?

Before kick-off our model rated a Accra Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Accra Lions 37%, draw 29%, Samatex 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Accra Lions), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Accra Lions) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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