Alverca 1-0 CD Feirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.6pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.9pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.5pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alverca EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Feirense EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -14%
2.61/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.32
+51% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
30.0 Crosses 17.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alverca
1-0
AWAY CD Feirense
0.95 xG 0.81
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
215 Passes 422
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
7 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Alverca vs CD Feirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alverca squeezed past CD Feirense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alverca as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Alverca had 36% of the ball to CD Feirense's 64%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.95 to 0.81.

What was the final score of Alverca vs CD Feirense?

Alverca 1-0 CD Feirense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alverca vs CD Feirense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alverca win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Alverca 44%, draw 24%, CD Feirense 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alverca), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alverca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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