Buzau 0-1 CFR Cluj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.65
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
49%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.9
No
63%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
3.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.76
6+ Goals
7%
16.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 35% vs market 26.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
24%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
19%
+8.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
49%
Away Win
56%
-6.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.3pp
37%
BTTS Yes
49%
-11.8pp
63%
BTTS No
51%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buzau EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY CFR Cluj EU Bookmakers 60%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -5%
0.66/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.63
-53% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +9%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
218 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
13.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
16.6 Crosses 22.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buzau
0-1
AWAY CFR Cluj
0.43 xG 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
315 Passes 349
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
7 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Buzau vs CFR Cluj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CFR Cluj edged past Buzau 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CFR Cluj as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Buzau had 48% of the ball to CFR Cluj's 52%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.43 to 0.83.

What was the final score of Buzau vs CFR Cluj?

Buzau 0-1 CFR Cluj in the Romania - 1st Division on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buzau vs CFR Cluj?

Before kick-off our model rated an CFR Cluj win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Buzau 27%, draw 24%, CFR Cluj 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CFR Cluj), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CFR Cluj) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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