Gaziantep FK 2-1 Göztepe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 1 Nov 2024

Gaziantep FK
2-1 HT 0-0
Göztepe
📅01/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Gaziantep FK vs Göztepe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.34
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.54
6+ Goals
12%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 27% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.36
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
17%
5.15
X/2
9%
5.95
X/X
9%
4.62
2/1
9%
27.0
2/2
13%
4.12
2/X
10%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+4.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
28%
Away Win
33%
-4.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.7pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gaziantep FK v Göztepe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Göztepe EU Bookmakers 37%
+9% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -19%
1.41/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.49
+19% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
18.7 Crosses 19.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6

Gaziantep FK vs Göztepe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gaziantep FK
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Göztepe
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.70 xG 1.37
49% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
297 Passes 313
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.04.2022 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-1 HT 0-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
06.12.2021 Göztepe Göztepe 2-1 HT 2-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
08.02.2021 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 2-0 HT 0-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
26.09.2020 Göztepe Göztepe 2-2 HT 0-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
22.02.2020 Göztepe Göztepe 1-1 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
30.09.2019 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-1 HT 0-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL

Gaziantep FK 2-1 Göztepe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaziantep FK
2-1
AWAY Göztepe
1.28 xG 1.20
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
224 Passes 174
70% Pass Accuracy 63%
22 Box Touches 26
8 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gaziantep FK vs Göztepe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gaziantep FK nicked a narrow win over Göztepe 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gaziantep FK as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Gaziantep FK had 53% of the ball to Göztepe's 47%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.28 to 1.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gaziantep FK and 1.17 for Göztepe.

What was the final score of Gaziantep FK vs Göztepe?

Gaziantep FK 2-1 Göztepe in the Turkey - Super League on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaziantep FK vs Göztepe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gaziantep FK win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gaziantep FK 45%, draw 27%, Göztepe 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gaziantep FK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gaziantep FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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