CD Guadalajara 0-2 Merida AD — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.96
No
45%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.41
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
4.46
6+ Goals
8%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.2pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Merida AD EU Bookmakers 32%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -14%
1.48/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.31
+17% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Guadalajara
0-2
AWAY Merida AD
70% Ball Possession 30%
20 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
15 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH CD Guadalajara vs Merida AD
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Merida AD beat CD Guadalajara 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was CD Guadalajara at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CD Guadalajara had 70% of the ball to Merida AD's 30%, shots finished 20-9.

What was the final score of CD Guadalajara vs Merida AD?

CD Guadalajara 0-2 Merida AD in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Guadalajara vs Merida AD?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split CD Guadalajara 43%, draw 28%, Merida AD 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CD Guadalajara), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Guadalajara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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