Aarau 2-1 Rapperswil-Jona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.29
Over 2.5
63%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.36
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
27%
2.75
6+ Goals
13%
7.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
63%
-3.3pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.8pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.1pp
37%
Under 2.5
40%
-2.6pp
63%
Over 2.5
60%
+2.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.2pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarau EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapperswil-Jona EU Bookmakers 20%
-3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.63/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/2.32
-10% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
14.1 Crosses 16.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarau
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Rapperswil-Jona
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.96 xG 0.35
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
507 Passes 260
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
44 Box Touches 11
28 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.08.2025 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona 0-1 HT 0-0 Aarau Aarau İSV2
POST-MATCH Aarau vs Rapperswil-Jona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarau edged past Rapperswil-Jona 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aarau as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Aarau vs Rapperswil-Jona?

Aarau 2-1 Rapperswil-Jona in the Switzerland Challenge League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarau vs Rapperswil-Jona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Aarau 59%, draw 19%, Rapperswil-Jona 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarau), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aarau) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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