Olympic Charleroi 1-1 RFC Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 1 Nov 2025

Olympic Charleroi
1-1 HT 1-1
RFC Liege
📅01/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Belgium - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Olympic Charleroi vs RFC Liege Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
4.04
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
46%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.9
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
9.03
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.9 — our 27% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
22%
+11.2pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.2pp
46%
Away Win
55%
-8.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Olympic Charleroi v RFC Liege — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympic Charleroi EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY RFC Liege EU Bookmakers 60%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
0.20/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.24
-100% / +86% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -36%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
23.0 Crosses 27.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Olympic Charleroi 1-1 RFC Liege — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olympic Charleroi
1-1
AWAY RFC Liege
1.25 xG 0.69
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
344 Passes 366
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Olympic Charleroi vs RFC Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympic Charleroi and RFC Liege couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was RFC Liege at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Olympic Charleroi had 48% of the ball to RFC Liege's 52%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.25 to 0.69.

What was the final score of Olympic Charleroi vs RFC Liege?

Olympic Charleroi 1-1 RFC Liege in the Belgium - 1st Division on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympic Charleroi vs RFC Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated an RFC Liege win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Olympic Charleroi 33%, draw 21%, RFC Liege 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (RFC Liege) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RFC Liege) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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