Atletico Goianiense 2-1 Paysandu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 1 Nov 2025

Atletico Goianiense
2-1 HT 0-1
Paysandu
📅01/11/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2025

Atletico Goianiense vs Paysandu Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
17%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.11
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.44
6+ Goals
11%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 29% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
59%
+1.7pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.5pp
17%
Away Win
17%
-0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Goianiense v Paysandu — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Goianiense EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Paysandu EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.46/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.40
-6% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
346 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 73%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
24.0 Crosses 15.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4

Atletico Goianiense vs Paysandu Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Goianiense
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Paysandu
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.04 xG 1.77
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
303 Passes 246
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
13.07.2025 Paysandu Paysandu 2-2 HT 1-2 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR2
24.11.2018 Paysandu Paysandu 2-5 HT 1-2 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR2
01.08.2018 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 1-0 HT 0-0 Paysandu Paysandu BR2
15.10.2016 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 2-1 HT 1-1 Paysandu Paysandu BR2
25.06.2016 Paysandu Paysandu 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR2
03.10.2015 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 2-1 HT 1-0 Paysandu Paysandu BR2

Atletico Goianiense 2-1 Paysandu — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Goianiense
2-1
AWAY Paysandu
2.57 xG 1.45
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
373 Passes 267
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Goianiense vs Paysandu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Goianiense nicked a narrow win over Paysandu 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico Goianiense as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Goianiense had 56% of the ball to Paysandu's 44%, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 2.57 to 1.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Goianiense had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Atletico Goianiense and 1.00 for Paysandu.

What was the final score of Atletico Goianiense vs Paysandu?

Atletico Goianiense 2-1 Paysandu in the Brazil - Serie B on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Goianiense vs Paysandu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Goianiense win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Atletico Goianiense 61%, draw 22%, Paysandu 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Goianiense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Goianiense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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