Roskilde 1-2 Thisted — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.61
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
2.99
6+ Goals
14%
9.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
58%
+0.8pp
19%
Draw
22%
-3.2pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.5pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roskilde EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Thisted EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +33%
2.69/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.26
+36% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
408 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roskilde
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Thisted
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2025 Thisted Thisted 0-0 HT 0-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
18.11.2023 Thisted Thisted 1-3 HT 0-2 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
14.10.2023 Roskilde Roskilde 2-3 HT 1-3 Thisted Thisted DAN2
06.04.2023 Roskilde Roskilde 0-1 HT 0-1 Thisted Thisted DAN2
27.08.2022 Thisted Thisted 1-1 HT 1-1 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roskilde
1-2
AWAY Thisted
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Roskilde vs Thisted
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thisted squeezed past Roskilde 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Roskilde carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Roskilde had 62% of the ball to Thisted's 38%, shots finished 18-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Thisted led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Roskilde and 1.20 for Thisted.

What was the final score of Roskilde vs Thisted?

Roskilde 1-2 Thisted in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roskilde vs Thisted?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roskilde win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Roskilde 59%, draw 19%, Thisted 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Roskilde) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roskilde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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