Holyhead Hotspur FC 3-2 Denbigh Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
58%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.39
No
34%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
36%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
25%
-6.9pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.9pp
58%
Away Win
54%
+4.0pp
66%
BTTS Yes
68%
-2.2pp
34%
BTTS No
32%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holyhead Hotspur FC EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 58%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
0.86/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.90/2.06
-39% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -42%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
205 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 483 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Holyhead Hotspur FC vs Denbigh Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holyhead Hotspur FC squeezed past Denbigh Town 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Denbigh Town carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Holyhead Hotspur FC vs Denbigh Town?

Holyhead Hotspur FC 3-2 Denbigh Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holyhead Hotspur FC vs Denbigh Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Denbigh Town win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Holyhead Hotspur FC 18%, draw 24%, Denbigh Town 58%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Denbigh Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Denbigh Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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