Limavady United 3-3 Warrenpoint Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.59
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.08
6+ Goals
7%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.59 — our 29% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
58%
-1.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Limavady United EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Warrenpoint Town EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.69/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/1.44
-15% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +36%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
409 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Limavady United
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Warrenpoint Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
16.08.2025 Limavady United Limavady United 1-0 HT 0-0 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town KİRL1
09.11.2021 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 6-1 HT 5-0 Limavady United Limavady United KILK
POST-MATCH Limavady United vs Warrenpoint Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Limavady United and Warrenpoint Town couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 3-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Limavady United at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Limavady United and 3.00 for Warrenpoint Town.

What was the final score of Limavady United vs Warrenpoint Town?

Limavady United 3-3 Warrenpoint Town in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Limavady United vs Warrenpoint Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Limavady United win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Limavady United 57%, draw 23%, Warrenpoint Town 20%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Limavady United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Limavady United) ✓ Over 2.5
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