Nairobi United 0-3 Sofapaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 1 Nov 2025

Nairobi United
0-3 HT 0-1
Sofapaka
📅01/11/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Kenya - Premier League – 2025/2026

Nairobi United vs Sofapaka Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.19
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.52
Over 2.5
29%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.16
No
64%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-8.3pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.5pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.8pp
71%
Under 2.5
62%
+8.9pp
29%
Over 2.5
38%
-8.9pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-6.0pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nairobi United v Sofapaka — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nairobi United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sofapaka EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
308 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.6
POST-MATCH Nairobi United vs Sofapaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sofapaka ran out comfortable winners over Nairobi United 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Sofapaka found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (64%) landed while under 2.5 goals (71%) missed.

What was the final score of Nairobi United vs Sofapaka?

Nairobi United 0-3 Sofapaka in the Kenya - Premier League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nairobi United vs Sofapaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nairobi United win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Nairobi United 34%, draw 33%, Sofapaka 33%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Nairobi United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nairobi United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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