Disgyor II 2-1 Tarpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB III, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
51%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
31%
-5.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
51%
Away Win
44%
+7.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Disgyor II EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Tarpa EU Bookmakers 48%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
1.25/2.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-26% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Disgyor II vs Tarpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Disgyor II squeezed past Tarpa 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Tarpa at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Disgyor II vs Tarpa?

Disgyor II 2-1 Tarpa in the Hungary - NB III on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Disgyor II vs Tarpa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tarpa win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Disgyor II 25%, draw 24%, Tarpa 51%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tarpa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tarpa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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