Irapuato 2-1 CD Tapatio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.1
Over 2.5
43%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.5pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.6pp
21%
Away Win
22%
-1.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+13.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
56%
-13.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.3pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Irapuato EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 25%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.29/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.42
-28% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Irapuato
2-1
AWAY CD Tapatio
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Irapuato vs CD Tapatio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Irapuato nicked a narrow win over CD Tapatio 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Irapuato as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Irapuato had 58% of the ball to CD Tapatio's 42%, shots finished 14-10.

What was the final score of Irapuato vs CD Tapatio?

Irapuato 2-1 CD Tapatio in the Mexico - Primera A on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Irapuato vs CD Tapatio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Irapuato win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Irapuato 50%, draw 29%, CD Tapatio 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Irapuato), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Irapuato) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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