Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mainz 05 v Hoffenheim — Team-Based Signals
Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Mainz 05
AL1
1-0
HT 1-0
Hoffenheim
AL1
4-1
HT 0-0
Mainz 05
AL1
2-0
HT 0-0
Hoffenheim
AL1
0-2
HT 0-1
Mainz 05
AL1
Mainz 05 2-0 Hoffenheim — Actual Match Statistics
Mainz 05 saw off Hoffenheim 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Mainz 05 as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Mainz 05 had 52% of the ball to Hoffenheim's 48%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 2.38 to 0.44.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mainz 05 had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Mainz 05 and 1.00 for Hoffenheim.
What was the final score of Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim?
Mainz 05 2-0 Hoffenheim in the Germany - Bundesliga on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mainz 05 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 46%, draw 29%, Hoffenheim 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mainz 05) — a clean sweep of the main markets.