Pas de la Casa 1-0 Esperança dAndorra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.16
Draw
22%
7.78
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
3.14
No
47%
1.31
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
82%
-20.6pp
23%
Draw
10%
+12.0pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+8.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
28%
+24.9pp
47%
BTTS No
72%
-24.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pas de la Casa EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Esperança dAndorra EU Bookmakers 9%
-88% / -88% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.53/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/3.77
-82% / -63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -31%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pas de la Casa
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Esperança dAndorra
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Esperança dAndorra Esperança dAndorra 0-2 HT 0-2 Pas de la Casa AND
18.02.2024 Esperança dAndorra Esperança dAndorra 0-0 HT 0-0 Pas de la Casa AND
07.10.2023 Pas de la Casa 3-2 HT 2-2 Esperança dAndorra Esperança dAndorra AND
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pas de la Casa
1-0
AWAY Esperança dAndorra
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pas de la Casa vs Esperança dAndorra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pas de la Casa squeezed past Esperança dAndorra 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pas de la Casa as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pas de la Casa had 60% of the ball to Esperança dAndorra's 40%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Pas de la Casa had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Pas de la Casa and 0.67 for Esperança dAndorra.

What was the final score of Pas de la Casa vs Esperança dAndorra?

Pas de la Casa 1-0 Esperança dAndorra in the Andorra - 1st Division on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pas de la Casa vs Esperança dAndorra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pas de la Casa win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Pas de la Casa 62%, draw 23%, Esperança dAndorra 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pas de la Casa) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pas de la Casa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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