01/12/2024
·
11:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
PSIS Semarang vs Semen Padang Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
11%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
BTTS Yes
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
32%
Draw
26%
25%
Away Win
23%
56%
Under 2.5
56%
44%
Over 2.5
44%
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
50%
BTTS No
54%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PSIS Semarang v Semen Padang — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
PSIS Semarang
EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY
Semen Padang
EU Bookmakers 26%
+13% /
+14%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-1% /
-1%
1.51/0.60
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/1.60
+2%
/
+52%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-9%
/
-15%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
12
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
299 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
375 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
PSIS Semarang vs Semen Padang Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
PSIS Semarang
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Semen Padang
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
43%
Ball Possession
57%
14
Total Shots
6
3
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
7
The Meetings
13.12.2019
PSIS Semarang
2-0
HT 1-0
Semen Padang
ENDL1
2-0
HT 1-0
Semen Padang
ENDL1
POST-MATCH
PSIS Semarang vs Semen Padang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
PSIS Semarang nicked a narrow win over Semen Padang 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had PSIS Semarang as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of PSIS Semarang vs Semen Padang?
PSIS Semarang 1-0 Semen Padang in the Indonesia League 1 on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for PSIS Semarang vs Semen Padang?
Before kick-off our model rated a PSIS Semarang win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split PSIS Semarang 44%, draw 32%, Semen Padang 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSIS Semarang), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (PSIS Semarang)
✓ Under 2.5
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