University Of Pretoria 4-3 Black Leopards FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.33
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.41
Over 2.5
51%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.29
No
50%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
39%
+4.5pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.6pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
67%
-18.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
33%
+18.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+10.4pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME University Of Pretoria EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Black Leopards FC EU Bookmakers 33%
-11% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -22%
0.96/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.84
-19% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -45%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME University Of Pretoria
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Black Leopards FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
08.10.2023 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria 1-0 HT 1-0 Black Leopards FC Black Leopards FC GAF1
28.01.2023 Black Leopards FC Black Leopards FC 2-2 HT 1-1 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria GAF1
21.10.2022 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria 3-3 HT 0-1 Black Leopards FC Black Leopards FC GAF1
POST-MATCH University Of Pretoria vs Black Leopards FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

University Of Pretoria edged past Black Leopards FC 4-3. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had University Of Pretoria as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, University Of Pretoria had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for University Of Pretoria and 1.67 for Black Leopards FC.

What was the final score of University Of Pretoria vs Black Leopards FC?

University Of Pretoria 4-3 Black Leopards FC in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for University Of Pretoria vs Black Leopards FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a University Of Pretoria win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split University Of Pretoria 44%, draw 27%, Black Leopards FC 30%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (University Of Pretoria), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (University Of Pretoria) ✓ Over 2.5
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