Daegu 3-1 Asan Mugunghwa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Korea - K League 1, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
2.07
Over
46%
1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.59
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
28%
4.1
2-3
39%
1.87
4-5
23%
3.12
6+
10%
10.05
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.1 — our 28% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.46
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
13%
4.57
X/2
10%
8.55
X/X
14%
5.11
2/1
6%
23.0
2/2
10%
5.99
2/X
8%
13.35
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daegu The Market 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa The Market 28%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better
Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better
Average Attackvs comparable teams
Average Defensevs comparable teams
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
315 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.2 Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daegu
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
415 Passes 293
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 0
28.11.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 4-3 HT 3-1 Daegu Daegu GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daegu
3-1
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
352 Passes 351
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
39 Crosses 18
5 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Daegu vs Asan Mugunghwa
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Daegu had too much for Asan Mugunghwa 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Daegu as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the BTTS-yes price closed at 1.59, about 63%.

By the numbers, possession split 51% to 49% in Daegu's favour, shots finished 17-7.

Daegu vs Asan Mugunghwa Result & Final Score

Daegu 3-1 Asan Mugunghwa in the South Korea - K League 1 on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Daegu vs Asan Mugunghwa Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Daegu win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Daegu 43%, draw 29%, Asan Mugunghwa 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Daegu) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Daegu) ✗ Under 2.5
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