Cerezo Osaka (K) 2-1 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.4
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
57%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
27%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
15%
+3.4pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.6pp
57%
Away Win
63%
-6.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.8pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerezo Osaka (K) EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) EU Bookmakers 67%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.71/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/0.85
-7% / -63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -40%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
208 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 482 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerezo Osaka (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
4 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
31.03.2024 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) 1-2 HT 1-1 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerezo Osaka (K)
2-1
AWAY INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cerezo Osaka (K) vs INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerezo Osaka (K) edged past INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 2-1.

This one beat our numbers. INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Cerezo Osaka (K) had 34% of the ball to INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)'s 66%, shots finished 6-24.

What was the final score of Cerezo Osaka (K) vs INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)?

Cerezo Osaka (K) 2-1 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerezo Osaka (K) vs INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Cerezo Osaka (K) 19%, draw 25%, INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 57%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)) ✗ BTTS No
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