01/12/2024
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-2
Kelkit Hürriyet SK vs Muğlaspor Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
30%
28%
Draw
28%
48%
Away Win
41%
50%
Under 2.5
58%
50%
Over 2.5
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kelkit Hürriyet SK v Muğlaspor — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Kelkit Hürriyet SK
EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY
Muğlaspor
EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% /
+3%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-23% /
-23%
0.26/0.38
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.09/1.91
-79%
/
+150%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-92%
/
-38%
46%
Ball Possession
54%
9
Total Shots
14
3
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
5
275 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
382 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Kelkit Hürriyet SK vs Muğlaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Kelkit Hürriyet SK edged past Muğlaspor 2-1.
Our pre-match lean was Muğlaspor at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
What was the final score of Kelkit Hürriyet SK vs Muğlaspor?
Kelkit Hürriyet SK 2-1 Muğlaspor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kelkit Hürriyet SK vs Muğlaspor?
Before kick-off our model rated an Muğlaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kelkit Hürriyet SK 24%, draw 28%, Muğlaspor 48%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Muğlaspor) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Muğlaspor)
✓ BTTS Yes
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S3-2
More Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup
1 Dec 2024