Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. 2-2 Bayburt Özel İdare Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 3.Grup, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.59
Over 2.5
48%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.33
No
55%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
60%
-4.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+5.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
39%
+6.1pp
55%
BTTS No
61%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayburt Özel İdare Spor EU Bookmakers 18%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
1.49/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.93
-9% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
440 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.
2-2
AWAY Bayburt Özel İdare Spor
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. vs Bayburt Özel İdare Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. and Bayburt Özel İdare Spor shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. had 59% of the ball to Bayburt Özel İdare Spor's 41%, shots finished 14-10.

What was the final score of Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. vs Bayburt Özel İdare Spor?

Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. 2-2 Bayburt Özel İdare Spor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 3.Grup on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. vs Bayburt Özel İdare Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. 56%, draw 23%, Bayburt Özel İdare Spor 21%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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