01/12/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Msaken vs Oued Ellil Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
23%
Draw
29%
33%
Away Win
29%
60%
Under 2.5
62%
40%
Over 2.5
38%
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
58%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Msaken v Oued Ellil — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Msaken
EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
Oued Ellil
EU Bookmakers 32%
+13% /
+13%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-51% /
-51%
1.34/1.04
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/1.00
+24%
/
-29%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
+5%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
10
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
295 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
304 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
4.0
Msaken vs Oued Ellil Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Msaken
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Oued Ellil
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
21.11.2021
Oued Ellil
2-1
Msaken
TUN2A
2-1
Msaken
TUN2A
POST-MATCH
Msaken vs Oued Ellil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Msaken and Oued Ellil shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Msaken at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.
What was the final score of Msaken vs Oued Ellil?
Msaken 1-1 Oued Ellil in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Msaken vs Oued Ellil?
Before kick-off our model rated a Msaken win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Msaken 43%, draw 23%, Oued Ellil 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Msaken), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Msaken)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
TUN2
More Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme
1 Dec 2024