Msaken 1-1 Oued Ellil — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.4pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.8pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.2pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Msaken EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Oued Ellil EU Bookmakers 32%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -51% / -51%
1.34/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+24% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Msaken
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Oued Ellil
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
21.11.2021 Oued Ellil Oued Ellil 2-1 Msaken Msaken TUN2A
POST-MATCH Msaken vs Oued Ellil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Msaken and Oued Ellil shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Msaken at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

What was the final score of Msaken vs Oued Ellil?

Msaken 1-1 Oued Ellil in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Msaken vs Oued Ellil?

Before kick-off our model rated a Msaken win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Msaken 43%, draw 23%, Oued Ellil 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Msaken), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Msaken) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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