Boca Juniors 1-0 Argentinos Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 1 Dec 2025

📅01/12/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.5
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.83
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.6
X/1
24%
4.38
X/2
10%
7.89
X/X
14%
3.64
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
9%
6.98
2/X
10%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+1.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.6pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.3pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boca Juniors EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Argentinos Juniors EU Bookmakers 27%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -13%
1.32/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.19
+11% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 72%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
20.0 Crosses 19.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boca Juniors
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Argentinos Juniors
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.20 xG 0.79
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
291 Passes 331
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.07.2025 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 0-0 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
27.01.2025 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 0-0 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
07.10.2024 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 1-0 HT 1-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
20.05.2023 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 0-1 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
20.07.2022 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 2-0 HT 2-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
04.11.2021 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 1-0 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boca Juniors
1-0
AWAY Argentinos Juniors
1.14 xG 0.78
28% Ball Possession 72%
4 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
167 Passes 508
70% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 19
7 Crosses 36
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boca Juniors vs Argentinos Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boca Juniors nicked a narrow win over Argentinos Juniors 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Boca Juniors as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Boca Juniors had 28% of the ball to Argentinos Juniors's 72%, shots finished 4-16, expected goals 1.14 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boca Juniors had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Boca Juniors and 0.33 for Argentinos Juniors.

What was the final score of Boca Juniors vs Argentinos Juniors?

Boca Juniors 1-0 Argentinos Juniors in the Argentina - Premier League on 01/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boca Juniors vs Argentinos Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boca Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Boca Juniors 48%, draw 29%, Argentinos Juniors 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boca Juniors), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Boca Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJ More Argentina - Premier League
1 Dec 2025
23:00 Barracas Central vs Gimnasia La Plata Analysis →