Megrine 1-0 Sporting Ben Arous — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 1 Dec 2025

Megrine
1-0 HT 0-0
Sporting Ben Arous
📅01/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme – 2025/2026

Megrine vs Sporting Ben Arous Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.16
No
50%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+4.9pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.4pp
28%
Away Win
32%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.4pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Megrine v Sporting Ben Arous — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Megrine EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Ben Arous EU Bookmakers 36%
-54% / -54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.57
-11% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +95% / -30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Megrine 1-0 Sporting Ben Arous — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Megrine
1-0
AWAY Sporting Ben Arous
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Megrine vs Sporting Ben Arous
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Megrine edged past Sporting Ben Arous 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Megrine as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Megrine had 51% of the ball to Sporting Ben Arous's 49%, shots finished 11-6.

What was the final score of Megrine vs Sporting Ben Arous?

Megrine 1-0 Sporting Ben Arous in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 01/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Megrine vs Sporting Ben Arous?

Before kick-off our model rated a Megrine win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Megrine 42%, draw 30%, Sporting Ben Arous 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Megrine), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Megrine) ✓ Under 2.5
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