Vietnam SR 2-1 Tayland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFF Championship, 2 Jan 2025

📅02/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
66%
1.59
Over
34%
2.16
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.97
No
62%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
41%
2-3
40%
4-5
13%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Vietnam SR The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Tayland The Market 31%
Bad Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Great
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
0.75 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.25
1.39 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.88
Average Attackvs comparable teams Great
Bad Defensevs comparable teams
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.0
19.0 Crosses 6.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vietnam SR
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Tayland
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.69 xG 1.03
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
296 Passes 337
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 9
14 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2024 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR 1-2 HT 1-2 Tayland Tayland HAZ
16.01.2023 Tayland Tayland 1-0 HT 1-0 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR AFF
13.01.2023 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR 2-2 HT 1-0 Tayland Tayland AFF
26.12.2021 Tayland Tayland 0-0 HT 0-0 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR AFF
23.12.2021 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR 0-2 HT 0-2 Tayland Tayland AFF
19.11.2019 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR 0-0 HT 0-0 Tayland Tayland DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vietnam SR
2-1
AWAY Tayland
2.28 xG 0.65
36% Ball Possession 64%
21 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
189 Passes 395
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Vietnam SR vs Tayland
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Vietnam SR nicked a narrow win over Tayland 2-1. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Vietnam SR as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%) never looked like landing.

On the day, Vietnam SR had 36% of the ball to Tayland's 64%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 2.28 to 0.65 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Vietnam SR's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tayland led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Vietnam SR and 1.17 for Tayland.

Vietnam SR vs Tayland Result & Final Score

Vietnam SR 2-1 Tayland in the AFF Championship on 02/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Vietnam SR vs Tayland Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Vietnam SR win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Vietnam SR 47%, draw 26%, Tayland 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vietnam SR) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vietnam SR) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →