Masr 3-1 Derot — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Cup, 2 Jan 2025

Masr
3-1
Derot
📅02/01/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Egypt - Cup – 2024/2025

Masr vs Derot Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.28
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
13%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.44
No
56%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.44
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
26%
3.16
6+ Goals
9%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 29% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
74%
-10.5pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.7pp
13%
Away Win
9%
+4.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
37%
+6.9pp
56%
BTTS No
63%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Masr v Derot — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Masr EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Derot EU Bookmakers 11%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/7.00
-6% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / -71%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
415 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Masr vs Derot
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Masr saw off Derot 3-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Masr as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Masr vs Derot?

Masr 3-1 Derot in the Egypt - Cup on 02/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Masr vs Derot?

Before kick-off our model rated a Masr win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Masr 63%, draw 23%, Derot 13%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Masr) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Masr) ✗ BTTS No
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