Maroons 1-0 Kiboga Young — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 2 Jan 2025

📅02/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.67
No
60%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
69%
-9.6pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.4pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+7.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
33%
+6.5pp
60%
BTTS No
67%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maroons EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Kiboga Young EU Bookmakers 12%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.70/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.39/2.43
-16% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
414 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maroons
1-0
AWAY Kiboga Young
60% Ball Possession 40%
7 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Maroons vs Kiboga Young
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maroons squeezed past Kiboga Young 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Maroons as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Maroons had 60% of the ball to Kiboga Young's 40%, shots finished 7-5.

What was the final score of Maroons vs Kiboga Young?

Maroons 1-0 Kiboga Young in the Uganda - Premier League on 02/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maroons vs Kiboga Young?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maroons win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Maroons 59%, draw 24%, Kiboga Young 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maroons), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maroons) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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