Khorfakkan 2-3 Al Dhafra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 2 Jan 2026

Khorfakkan
2-3 HT 1-1
Al Dhafra
📅02/01/2026 · 🕒15:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
UAE - League – 2025/2026

Khorfakkan vs Al Dhafra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.78
6+ Goals
10%
7.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.8pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.0pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.1pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Khorfakkan v Al Dhafra — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khorfakkan EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Dhafra EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +13%
1.40/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.52
+41% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +45%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
18.0 Crosses 20.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Khorfakkan vs Al Dhafra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khorfakkan
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Dhafra
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.85 xG 1.54
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
350 Passes 237
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.11.2022 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 4-3 HT 1-0 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE
05.03.2022 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 4-1 HT 2-1 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
04.12.2021 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 1-2 HT 1-1 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAELK
24.09.2021 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE
07.03.2021 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 5-1 HT 2-0 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE
21.11.2020 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 2-0 HT 0-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE

Khorfakkan 2-3 Al Dhafra — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khorfakkan
2-3
AWAY Al Dhafra
2.03 xG 0.93
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
429 Passes 224
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Khorfakkan vs Al Dhafra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Dhafra squeezed past Khorfakkan 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Khorfakkan at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Khorfakkan had 63% of the ball to Al Dhafra's 37%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 2.03 to 0.93 — on chances, Khorfakkan could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Khorfakkan had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Khorfakkan and 1.83 for Al Dhafra.

What was the final score of Khorfakkan vs Al Dhafra?

Khorfakkan 2-3 Al Dhafra in the UAE - League on 02/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khorfakkan vs Al Dhafra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Khorfakkan win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Khorfakkan 43%, draw 29%, Al Dhafra 28%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Khorfakkan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Khorfakkan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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