Bristol City 0-1 Leeds United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 2 Feb 2024

Bristol City
0-1 HT 0-0
Leeds United
📅02/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Bristol City vs Leeds United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
47%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.86
6+ Goals
10%
17.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.76
1/2
10%
25.0
1/X
11%
15.45
X/1
8%
8.41
X/2
15%
3.96
X/X
9%
4.65
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
22%
2.38
2/X
6%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+4.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
47%
Away Win
52%
-4.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bristol City v Leeds United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol City EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Leeds United EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -17%
1.14/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/0.80
-1% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +22%
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
180 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 78%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.4
16.1 Crosses 19.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

Bristol City vs Leeds United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol City
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Leeds United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.62 xG 2.14
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
221 Passes 358
67% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Leeds United Leeds United 2-1 HT 1-1 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
15.02.2020 Leeds United Leeds United 1-0 HT 1-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
04.08.2019 Bristol City Bristol City 1-3 HT 0-1 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
09.03.2019 Bristol City Bristol City 0-1 HT 0-1 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
24.11.2018 Leeds United Leeds United 2-0 HT 0-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
18.02.2018 Leeds United Leeds United 2-2 HT 0-2 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL

Bristol City 0-1 Leeds United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bristol City
0-1
AWAY Leeds United
0.42 xG 1.06
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
289 Passes 519
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 34
12 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bristol City vs Leeds United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leeds United edged past Bristol City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Leeds United as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bristol City had 39% of the ball to Leeds United's 61%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.42 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leeds United led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bristol City and 1.83 for Leeds United.

What was the final score of Bristol City vs Leeds United?

Bristol City 0-1 Leeds United in the England - Championship on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol City vs Leeds United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bristol City 27%, draw 26%, Leeds United 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leeds United) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leeds United) ✗ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →