Chelsea U21 3-3 Leeds United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League Cup, 2 Feb 2024

📅02/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.98
Over 2.5
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.43
No
52%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
28%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.0pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.3pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
66%
-18.0pp
52%
BTTS No
34%
+18.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea U21 EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Leeds United U21 EU Bookmakers 22%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
426 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea U21
3-3
AWAY Leeds United U21
2.27 xG 1.43
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
428 Passes 273
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
37 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chelsea U21 vs Leeds United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea U21 and Leeds United U21 couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Chelsea U21 at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Chelsea U21 had 60% of the ball to Leeds United U21's 40%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 2.27 to 1.43.

What was the final score of Chelsea U21 vs Leeds United U21?

Chelsea U21 3-3 Leeds United U21 in the England - Premier League Cup on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea U21 vs Leeds United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Chelsea U21 52%, draw 24%, Leeds United U21 24%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Chelsea U21), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chelsea U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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