Athletic Bilbao 4-0 Mallorca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 2 Feb 2024

Athletic Bilbao
4-0 HT 2-0
Mallorca
📅02/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.4
No
53%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.42
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.88
6+ Goals
9%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.95
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
19.2
X/1
18%
3.32
X/2
6%
12.3
X/X
14%
4.42
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
9%
11.7
2/X
6%
20.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
38%
+9.4pp
53%
BTTS No
62%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Athletic Bilbao v Mallorca — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Bilbao EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Mallorca EU Bookmakers 17%
-8% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.69/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.65
-12% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
26.5 Crosses 15.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9

Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Bilbao
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Mallorca
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.63 xG 1.04
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
366 Passes 234
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.09.2023 Mallorca Mallorca 0-0 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
01.05.2023 Mallorca Mallorca 1-1 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
15.08.2022 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 0-0 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
14.02.2022 Mallorca Mallorca 3-2 HT 2-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
11.09.2021 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 2-0 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
27.06.2020 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 3-1 HT 2-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1

Athletic Bilbao 4-0 Mallorca — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Bilbao
4-0
AWAY Mallorca
1.91 xG 0.37
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
456 Passes 234
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 7
20 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao swept aside Mallorca 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Athletic Bilbao as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Athletic Bilbao had 62% of the ball to Mallorca's 38%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.91 to 0.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Athletic Bilbao and 0.83 for Mallorca.

What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca?

Athletic Bilbao 4-0 Mallorca in the Spain - Primera Liga on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao 52%, draw 27%, Mallorca 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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