Heidenheim 0-0 Borussia Dortmund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 2 Feb 2024

Heidenheim
0-0 HT 0-0
Borussia Dortmund
📅02/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Heidenheim vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.63
Over 2.5
67%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.39
No
34%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
6.24
2-3 Goals
39%
2.09
4-5 Goals
27%
2.52
6+ Goals
18%
5.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.34
1/2
7%
19.3
1/X
9%
13.7
X/1 EV+ ✗
14%
8.65
X/2
11%
4.57
X/X
5%
6.56
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
28%
2.24
2/X
8%
13.5
Value flag · X/1 at 8.65 — our 14% vs market 8.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.0pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-0.8pp
33%
Under 2.5
34%
-0.9pp
67%
Over 2.5
66%
+0.9pp
66%
BTTS Yes
68%
-2.2pp
34%
BTTS No
32%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heidenheim v Borussia Dortmund — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heidenheim EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Borussia Dortmund EU Bookmakers 51%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +12%
1.55/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.40
+19% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 80%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
22.0 Crosses 15.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7

Heidenheim vs Borussia Dortmund Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heidenheim
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Borussia Dortmund
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
2.15 xG 3.36
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
207 Passes 430
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 34
19 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.09.2023 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 2-2 HT 2-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL1
19.07.2014 Heidenheim Heidenheim 3-4 HT 2-1 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund HAZ

Heidenheim 0-0 Borussia Dortmund — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heidenheim
0-0
AWAY Borussia Dortmund
1.24 xG 0.64
30% Ball Possession 70%
12 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
203 Passes 601
70% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Heidenheim vs Borussia Dortmund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heidenheim and Borussia Dortmund played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Borussia Dortmund at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Heidenheim had 30% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund's 70%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.24 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Heidenheim and 3.00 for Borussia Dortmund.

What was the final score of Heidenheim vs Borussia Dortmund?

Heidenheim 0-0 Borussia Dortmund in the Germany - Bundesliga on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heidenheim vs Borussia Dortmund?

Before kick-off our model rated an Borussia Dortmund win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Heidenheim 32%, draw 22%, Borussia Dortmund 46%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Borussia Dortmund) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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