Borussia Dortmund II 1-1 Saarbrücken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 2 Feb 2024

Borussia Dortmund II
1-1 HT 1-0
Saarbrücken
📅02/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Borussia Dortmund II vs Saarbrücken Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
44%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.48
6+ Goals
10%
13.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.29
1/2
12%
24.3
1/X
9%
13.8
X/1
12%
7.2
X/2
11%
4.46
X/X
9%
4.74
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
21%
2.7
2/X
9%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+1.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-2.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Borussia Dortmund II v Saarbrücken — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borussia Dortmund II EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 50%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.27/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.98
+12% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
284 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Borussia Dortmund II vs Saarbrücken Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borussia Dortmund II
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Saarbrücken
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.09.2023 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-0 HT 1-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
11.02.2023 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 1-2 HT 1-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
10.08.2022 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 1-0 HT 0-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
26.01.2022 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-0 HT 0-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
21.08.2021 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 0-0 HT 0-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
15.03.2014 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 0-1 HT 0-1 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3

Borussia Dortmund II 1-1 Saarbrücken — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Borussia Dortmund II
1-1
AWAY Saarbrücken
26% Ball Possession 74%
7 Total Shots 32
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Borussia Dortmund II vs Saarbrücken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borussia Dortmund II and Saarbrücken couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Saarbrücken at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Borussia Dortmund II had 26% of the ball to Saarbrücken's 74%, shots finished 7-32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saarbrücken led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Borussia Dortmund II and 1.17 for Saarbrücken.

What was the final score of Borussia Dortmund II vs Saarbrücken?

Borussia Dortmund II 1-1 Saarbrücken in the Germany - 3rd Division on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borussia Dortmund II vs Saarbrücken?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saarbrücken win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Borussia Dortmund II 29%, draw 27%, Saarbrücken 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Saarbrücken), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Saarbrücken) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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