Agropecuario Argentino 1-0 Patronato — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 2 Feb 2024

📅02/02/2024 · 🕒23:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.8pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.4pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.6pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Agropecuario Argentino EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Patronato EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -19%
1.53/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.54
+8% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -17%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
338 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Agropecuario Argentino
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Patronato
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
16.10.2023 Patronato Patronato 1-1 HT 1-1 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino ARJPBN
03.06.2023 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 2-1 HT 2-1 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Agropecuario Argentino vs Patronato
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Agropecuario Argentino squeezed past Patronato 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Agropecuario Argentino as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Agropecuario Argentino had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Agropecuario Argentino and 1.00 for Patronato.

What was the final score of Agropecuario Argentino vs Patronato?

Agropecuario Argentino 1-0 Patronato in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Agropecuario Argentino vs Patronato?

Before kick-off our model rated a Agropecuario Argentino win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Agropecuario Argentino 47%, draw 31%, Patronato 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Agropecuario Argentino), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Agropecuario Argentino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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